Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.167584 0.191164 0.217372 0.248747 0.285399 0.326999 0.377979
2026-01-18 0.133502 0.165584 0.204828 0.256765 0.324290 0.409922 0.528033
2026-01-25 0.110874 0.146052 0.192188 0.257974 0.350752 0.479018 0.673470
2026-02-01 0.095158 0.131407 0.181642 0.257699 0.372343 0.542672 0.822553
2026-02-08 0.082965 0.119117 0.171561 0.255078 0.388328 0.599066 0.970921
2026-02-15 0.073342 0.108878 0.162507 0.251762 0.401515 0.652010 1.123714
2026-02-22 0.067601 0.103548 0.159857 0.257597 0.429736 0.733878 1.344782
2026-03-01 0.060918 0.095813 0.152230 0.253754 0.440227 0.785896 1.521255
2026-03-08 0.056023 0.090341 0.147512 0.254000 0.457684 0.853359 1.744325
2026-03-15 0.051756 0.085397 0.143014 0.253833 0.474035 0.921259 1.984956
2026-03-22 0.048940 0.082611 0.141890 0.259641 0.502824 1.019733 2.321020
2026-03-29 0.046186 0.079618 0.140001 0.263610 0.528349 1.116011 2.678780
2026-04-05 0.043586 0.076700 0.138029 0.267376 0.554657 1.220881 3.094751
2026-04-12 0.041604 0.074732 0.137655 0.274419 0.589628 1.354274 3.634547
2026-04-19 0.039145 0.071604 0.134646 0.275404 0.610804 1.458410 4.126061
2026-04-26 0.036798 0.068459 0.131251 0.275046 0.628685 1.558097 4.640246
2026-05-03 0.034445 0.065082 0.127019 0.272211 0.639925 1.642489 5.136406
2026-05-10 0.032254 0.061833 0.122719 0.268637 0.648674 1.722033 5.647465
2026-05-17 0.031090 0.060590 0.122573 0.274922 0.684690 1.890421 6.557310
2026-05-24 0.029191 0.057638 0.118394 0.270782 0.691449 1.971223 7.161792
2026-05-31 0.027783 0.055615 0.116087 0.271047 0.710797 2.097303 8.013171
2026-06-07 0.026453 0.053651 0.113725 0.270868 0.728900 2.224308 8.932480
2026-06-14 0.025651 0.052781 0.113803 0.277123 0.767622 2.433307 10.345444